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Robert Todd Carroll

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The Law of Truly Large Numbers,ǹĢ

Ģ̶, ÷ Ͼ ̴ Ͼ ְų Ȥ ̻ Ͼ ƴ϶ ̴.

, ǿ ȸ ÷ , ¦ ̴. ǿ ȸ ÷ Ȯ, õ ٰ ϱ ̴. Ÿ , ֿ ǿ ȸ ÷ ִ. Ȯ "17 1"̶ Ѵ. ׷ ۵ ¿ Ŀ, ȸ ǿ ÷ Ȯ 4 ߿ 30 1̶ ߴ. ̰ ѹ 2 ǿ ƴ϶ ̴(Persi and Mosteller).

Ű 迡 1600 ִٰ ̴. Dz տ 50,000 ̸ κ ٸ 135 ̴. (ٿ, 2 29ϻ ̴.  ¾ 50,000 34 ۿ .)

̾߱⸦ ̴.  " 23 ϸ Ȯ 50%̴."[Martin]

, ߻ Ȯ 100 1̶ ̰͸ŭ Ȯδ 쿬 Ͼ ɼ ſ ٰ 𸥴. ׷, 59 ִٴ 100 1 Ȯ ´ ִ. 迡 Ͼ ٴ Ȯ 100 1̶ . 59 ׸ Ѵٸ 250 ̹ǷΣ, p. 50), 뷫 150 ۴ٰ ϰ ̴. 츮 ̳ ٴ ְ, ڷ ϰ ҸȮϹǷ پ ޿ ߴٰ ִ. ٴ ̴.

See related entry on dreams.


б ڷ

Number Watch - All about the scares, scams, junk, panics, and flummery cooked up by the media, politicians, bureaucrats, so-called scientists and others who try to confuse you with wrong numbers.

Diaconis, Persi and Frederick Mosteller, "Coincidences," in The Encyclopedia of the Paranormal, ed. G. Stein (Amherst, N.Y.: Prometheus Books, 1996).

Hines, Terence. Pseudoscience and the Paranormal (Buffalo, NY: Prometheus Books, 1990).

Martin, Bruce. "Coincidences: Remarkable or Random?" in The Skeptical Inquirer, September/October 1998.

Paulos, John Allen. A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper (Anchor Books, 1996).

Paulos, John Allen. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences (Vintage Books, 1990).

Copyright 1998
Robert Todd Carroll

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Last updated 01/05/99

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